Roma vs Padova analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
56.6%
Win probability
1.97
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.6%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.3%
3-0
5.7%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.7%
2-0
8.6%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.2%
1-0
8.8%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.1%
21.7%
Draw
0-0
4.5%
1-1
10%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21.7%
21.7%
Win probability
1.14
Expected goals
0-1
5.1%
1-2
5.7%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
13.4%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.8%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Roma
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Jan. 1959 |
TOR
2 - 2
ROM
50%
24%
26%
|
79 | 73 | 6 | 0 |
| 18 Jan. 1959 |
ROM
0 - 0
FIO
39%
25%
36%
|
79 | 86 | 7 | 0 |
| 11 Jan. 1959 |
SAM
0 - 0
ROM
59%
21%
20%
|
79 | 80 | 1 | 0 |
| 07 Jan. 1959 |
ROM
1 - 1
HAN
81%
11%
8%
|
79 | 30 | 49 | 0 |
| 04 Jan. 1959 |
ROM
0 - 2
USA
75%
15%
9%
|
80 | 67 | 13 | -1 |
Matches
Padova
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Jan. 1959 |
TRI
2 - 4
PAD
42%
26%
32%
|
78 | 71 | 7 | 0 |
| 18 Jan. 1959 |
PAD
4 - 0
TOR
65%
19%
16%
|
77 | 74 | 3 | +1 |
| 11 Jan. 1959 |
ACM
4 - 1
PAD
81%
12%
7%
|
77 | 86 | 9 | 0 |
| 06 Jan. 1959 |
PAD
2 - 3
INT
53%
21%
26%
|
78 | 83 | 5 | -1 |
| 04 Jan. 1959 |
PAD
3 - 1
LAZ
51%
22%
27%
|
77 | 80 | 3 | +1 |