Roma vs Padova analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
69.3%
Win probability
2.35
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.2%
5-0
2.3%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.2%
4-0
4.8%
5-1
2.1%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.3%
3-0
8.3%
4-1
4.4%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.8%
2-0
10.5%
3-1
7.6%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.4%
1-0
9%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.8%
17.7%
Draw
0-0
3.8%
1-1
8.2%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
17.7%
13%
Win probability
0.92
Expected goals
0-1
3.5%
1-2
3.8%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
8.9%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.1%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Roma
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Apr. 1934 |
TOR
3 - 6
ROM
51%
24%
26%
|
83 | 78 | 5 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 1934 |
ROM
2 - 1
PAL
75%
14%
11%
|
83 | 70 | 13 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 1934 |
USA
1 - 1
ROM
43%
25%
33%
|
83 | 73 | 10 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 1934 |
INT
0 - 0
ROM
73%
15%
12%
|
83 | 86 | 3 | 0 |
| 08 Apr. 1934 |
ROM
3 - 0
GEN
63%
20%
17%
|
83 | 75 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Padova
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Apr. 1934 |
PAD
0 - 0
GEN
44%
23%
33%
|
69 | 73 | 4 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 1934 |
JUV
5 - 1
PAD
91%
6%
3%
|
70 | 90 | 20 | -1 |
| 22 Apr. 1934 |
PAD
0 - 0
FIO
24%
22%
54%
|
69 | 81 | 12 | +1 |
| 12 Apr. 1934 |
PAD
2 - 0
TRI
49%
24%
27%
|
69 | 72 | 3 | 0 |
| 08 Apr. 1934 |
PAL
2 - 1
PAD
49%
23%
29%
|
69 | 68 | 1 | 0 |