Roma vs Padova analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
78%
Win probability
3.15
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.4%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.5%
7-0
0.9%
8-1
0.4%
9-2
0.1%
+7
1.3%
6-0
2%
7-1
1%
8-2
0.2%
9-3
<0%
+6
3.2%
5-0
3.8%
6-1
2.1%
7-2
0.5%
8-3
0.1%
+5
6.5%
4-0
6%
5-1
4.1%
6-2
1.1%
7-3
0.2%
8-4
<0%
+4
11.4%
3-0
7.6%
4-1
6.4%
5-2
2.2%
6-3
0.4%
7-4
<0%
+3
16.7%
2-0
7.3%
3-1
8.2%
4-2
3.5%
5-3
0.8%
6-4
0.1%
7-5
<0%
+2
19.8%
1-0
4.6%
2-1
7.8%
3-2
4.4%
4-3
1.2%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
18.3%
12.6%
Draw
0-0
1.5%
1-1
5%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
12.6%
9.4%
Win probability
1.07
Expected goals
0-1
1.6%
1-2
2.7%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0.1%
-1
6.2%
0-2
0.8%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
2.3%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Roma
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Jun. 1930 |
BOL
5 - 2
ROM
58%
21%
21%
|
81 | 82 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 Jun. 1930 |
ROM
3 - 0
TOR
61%
20%
19%
|
81 | 82 | 1 | 0 |
| 08 Jun. 1930 |
ROM
5 - 0
PRO
81%
11%
8%
|
81 | 68 | 13 | 0 |
| 01 Jun. 1930 |
JUV
2 - 1
ROM
68%
18%
14%
|
81 | 87 | 6 | 0 |
| 29 May. 1930 |
ROM
4 - 2
MOD
84%
10%
6%
|
81 | 67 | 14 | 0 |
Matches
Padova
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Jun. 1930 |
PAD
3 - 0
NAP
22%
20%
58%
|
68 | 81 | 13 | 0 |
| 15 Jun. 1930 |
JUV
3 - 1
PAD
75%
15%
10%
|
69 | 87 | 18 | -1 |
| 08 Jun. 1930 |
PAD
1 - 2
TRI
54%
21%
25%
|
69 | 69 | 0 | 0 |
| 01 Jun. 1930 |
USC
1 - 1
PAD
42%
23%
35%
|
69 | 66 | 3 | 0 |
| 29 May. 1930 |
ACM
6 - 0
PAD
76%
14%
10%
|
70 | 81 | 11 | -1 |