Roma vs Lecco analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
79.3%
Win probability
2.82
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.8%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
1%
6-0
1.9%
7-1
0.6%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.6%
5-0
4%
6-1
1.5%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
5.8%
4-0
7.2%
5-1
3.2%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
11%
3-0
10.2%
4-1
5.6%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
17.2%
2-0
10.8%
3-1
8%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.4%
1-0
7.7%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20%
13%
Draw
0-0
2.7%
1-1
6%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
13%
7.7%
Win probability
0.78
Expected goals
0-1
2.1%
1-2
2.4%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
5.6%
0-2
0.8%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
1.7%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
-10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Roma
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Feb. 1962 |
ROM
1 - 1
VIC
76%
15%
10%
|
82 | 73 | 9 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 1962 |
CAT
1 - 1
ROM
35%
27%
38%
|
82 | 73 | 9 | 0 |
| 22 Jan. 1962 |
ROM
3 - 3
JUV
38%
22%
41%
|
82 | 87 | 5 | 0 |
| 14 Jan. 1962 |
PAL
0 - 0
ROM
30%
27%
43%
|
82 | 72 | 10 | 0 |
| 07 Jan. 1962 |
ROM
1 - 0
SAM
69%
17%
14%
|
82 | 79 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Lecco
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Feb. 1962 |
ATL
1 - 1
LEC
65%
21%
15%
|
69 | 77 | 8 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 1962 |
LEC
1 - 0
MAN
47%
25%
28%
|
68 | 72 | 4 | +1 |
| 22 Jan. 1962 |
TOR
2 - 1
LEC
68%
19%
13%
|
69 | 77 | 8 | -1 |
| 17 Jan. 1962 |
BOL
1 - 0
LEC
78%
14%
8%
|
69 | 79 | 10 | 0 |
| 14 Jan. 1962 |
LEC
0 - 0
SPA
44%
24%
32%
|
69 | 73 | 4 | 0 |