Roma vs Cagliari analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
76%
Win probability
2.44
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.3%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.6%
5-0
3.2%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4.2%
4-0
6.5%
5-1
2.2%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
9%
3-0
10.6%
4-1
4.5%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
15.9%
2-0
13%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
22%
1-0
10.6%
2-1
9%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.5%
15.5%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
7.4%
2-2
3.1%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
15.5%
8.6%
Win probability
0.69
Expected goals
0-1
3%
1-2
2.5%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
6.4%
0-2
1%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.8%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Roma
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Nov. 2013 |
ROM
1 - 1
SAS
75%
16%
10%
|
87 | 75 | 12 | 0 |
| 03 Nov. 2013 |
TOR
1 - 1
ROM
19%
23%
58%
|
88 | 74 | 14 | -1 |
| 31 Oct. 2013 |
ROM
1 - 0
CHI
77%
15%
8%
|
87 | 77 | 10 | +1 |
| 27 Oct. 2013 |
UDI
0 - 1
ROM
33%
25%
42%
|
87 | 84 | 3 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 2013 |
ROM
2 - 0
NAP
52%
23%
25%
|
87 | 87 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Cagliari
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Nov. 2013 |
CAG
2 - 1
TOR
54%
25%
22%
|
77 | 74 | 3 | 0 |
| 03 Nov. 2013 |
VER
2 - 1
CAG
48%
27%
25%
|
77 | 78 | 1 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 2013 |
CAG
0 - 3
BOL
51%
26%
23%
|
78 | 78 | 0 | -1 |
| 27 Oct. 2013 |
LAZ
2 - 0
CAG
63%
22%
16%
|
78 | 85 | 7 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 2013 |
CAG
2 - 1
CAT
43%
26%
30%
|
77 | 79 | 2 | +1 |