Roma vs Brescia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
71.3%
Win probability
1.96
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.7%
5-0
2%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.3%
4-0
5%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
6.2%
3-0
10.3%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
13.3%
2-0
15.8%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.1%
1-0
16.2%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.1%
+1
26.3%
19.5%
Draw
0-0
8.3%
1-1
8.7%
2-2
2.3%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
19.5%
9.2%
Win probability
0.54
Expected goals
0-1
4.4%
1-2
2.3%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0%
-1
7.2%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.7%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Roma
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Sep. 1980 |
ROM
3 - 0
CZJ
27%
27%
46%
|
78 | 88 | 10 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 1980 |
COM
0 - 1
ROM
32%
31%
37%
|
78 | 62 | 16 | 0 |
| 17 May. 1980 |
ROM
0 - 0
TOR
46%
29%
25%
|
77 | 84 | 7 | +1 |
| 11 May. 1980 |
AVE
0 - 1
ROM
42%
30%
29%
|
77 | 69 | 8 | 0 |
| 04 May. 1980 |
ROM
1 - 1
CAG
63%
23%
14%
|
77 | 70 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Brescia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Sep. 1980 |
BRE
1 - 2
AVE
51%
27%
22%
|
62 | 71 | 9 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 1980 |
TAR
2 - 0
BRE
41%
31%
28%
|
62 | 57 | 5 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 1980 |
BRE
1 - 1
UDI
56%
25%
19%
|
62 | 67 | 5 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 1980 |
BRE
0 - 1
JUV
19%
25%
57%
|
62 | 86 | 24 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 1980 |
GEN
1 - 1
BRE
56%
25%
19%
|
62 | 60 | 2 | 0 |