Roma vs Brescia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
75.6%
Win probability
2.35
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.2%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.4%
5-0
3%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.8%
4-0
6.4%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.5%
3-0
10.8%
4-1
4.1%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
15.6%
2-0
13.8%
3-1
7%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.3%
1-0
11.8%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.2%
16%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
7.6%
2-2
2.9%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
16%
8.4%
Win probability
0.65
Expected goals
0-1
3.2%
1-2
2.4%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
6.4%
0-2
1%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.7%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Roma
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Sep. 1976 |
AVE
1 - 1
ROM
39%
27%
34%
|
78 | 62 | 16 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 1976 |
RIM
0 - 1
ROM
30%
25%
45%
|
78 | 51 | 27 | 0 |
| 16 May. 1976 |
ROM
1 - 1
ASC
64%
23%
13%
|
78 | 69 | 9 | 0 |
| 09 May. 1976 |
INT
2 - 0
ROM
62%
23%
15%
|
79 | 83 | 4 | -1 |
| 02 May. 1976 |
ROM
0 - 3
NAP
44%
28%
27%
|
79 | 83 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Brescia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Sep. 1976 |
RIM
3 - 2
BRE
50%
23%
28%
|
63 | 52 | 11 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 1976 |
BRE
0 - 2
BOL
34%
26%
39%
|
63 | 79 | 16 | 0 |
| 20 Jun. 1976 |
BRI
1 - 1
BRE
36%
32%
32%
|
63 | 54 | 9 | 0 |
| 13 Jun. 1976 |
BRE
1 - 1
GEN
54%
28%
18%
|
63 | 65 | 2 | 0 |
| 06 Jun. 1976 |
CAT
0 - 0
BRE
42%
32%
27%
|
63 | 58 | 5 | 0 |