Roma vs Brescia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
70.4%
Win probability
2.38
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.3%
5-0
2.4%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.4%
4-0
5.1%
5-1
2.2%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.6%
3-0
8.5%
4-1
4.5%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14.1%
2-0
10.7%
3-1
7.6%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.7%
1-0
9%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.7%
17.3%
Draw
0-0
3.8%
1-1
8%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
17.3%
12.4%
Win probability
0.89
Expected goals
0-1
3.4%
1-2
3.6%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
8.5%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
2.9%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
-5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Roma
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Dec. 1935 |
SAM
0 - 2
ROM
29%
23%
48%
|
83 | 74 | 9 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 1935 |
ROM
1 - 1
JUV
45%
24%
31%
|
83 | 88 | 5 | 0 |
| 01 Dec. 1935 |
ACM
0 - 0
ROM
43%
25%
33%
|
83 | 77 | 6 | 0 |
| 17 Nov. 1935 |
BOL
2 - 0
ROM
62%
19%
19%
|
83 | 85 | 2 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 1935 |
ROM
0 - 1
FIO
62%
20%
19%
|
84 | 80 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
Brescia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Dec. 1935 |
BRE
0 - 0
TRI
47%
24%
29%
|
70 | 73 | 3 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 1935 |
PAL
3 - 2
BRE
46%
25%
29%
|
71 | 70 | 1 | -1 |
| 01 Dec. 1935 |
BRE
1 - 2
BAR
61%
20%
18%
|
72 | 64 | 8 | -1 |
| 17 Nov. 1935 |
FIO
1 - 0
BRE
60%
22%
19%
|
72 | 80 | 8 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 1935 |
BRE
3 - 1
LAZ
43%
24%
33%
|
71 | 76 | 5 | +1 |