Roma vs Brescia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
68.5%
Win probability
2.34
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.2%
5-0
2.2%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.1%
4-0
4.7%
5-1
2.1%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.2%
3-0
8%
4-1
4.4%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.5%
2-0
10.3%
3-1
7.5%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.2%
1-0
8.8%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.8%
17.9%
Draw
0-0
3.8%
1-1
8.3%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
17.9%
13.6%
Win probability
0.94
Expected goals
0-1
3.5%
1-2
3.9%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
9.2%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0.1%
-2
3.3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Roma
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Jan. 1934 |
PAD
1 - 0
ROM
23%
23%
54%
|
83 | 68 | 15 | 0 |
| 07 Jan. 1934 |
ROM
4 - 0
TOR
63%
20%
17%
|
83 | 78 | 5 | 0 |
| 31 Dec. 1933 |
PAL
0 - 0
ROM
24%
23%
53%
|
83 | 69 | 14 | 0 |
| 24 Dec. 1933 |
ROM
5 - 1
USA
65%
19%
16%
|
83 | 74 | 9 | 0 |
| 10 Dec. 1933 |
ROM
0 - 1
INT
51%
23%
25%
|
83 | 85 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Brescia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Jan. 1934 |
BRE
0 - 0
LAZ
42%
24%
33%
|
72 | 75 | 3 | 0 |
| 31 Dec. 1933 |
BRE
1 - 1
INT
36%
26%
37%
|
72 | 86 | 14 | 0 |
| 24 Dec. 1933 |
TRI
0 - 1
BRE
55%
22%
24%
|
71 | 74 | 3 | +1 |
| 17 Dec. 1933 |
LIV
0 - 0
BRE
47%
23%
31%
|
71 | 66 | 5 | 0 |
| 10 Dec. 1933 |
BRE
1 - 2
BOL
36%
27%
37%
|
72 | 86 | 14 | -1 |