Roma vs Bologna analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
73.9%
Win probability
2.39
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.1%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.4%
5-0
2.8%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.8%
4-0
5.9%
5-1
2.1%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.3%
3-0
9.9%
4-1
4.4%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
15.1%
2-0
12.4%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.6%
1-0
10.4%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.8%
16.3%
Draw
0-0
4.3%
1-1
7.8%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
16.3%
9.8%
Win probability
0.75
Expected goals
0-1
3.2%
1-2
2.9%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
7.1%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.1%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Roma
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Apr. 2022 |
LEI
1 - 1
ROM
40%
25%
35%
|
87 | 87 | 0 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 2022 |
INT
3 - 1
ROM
62%
20%
18%
|
88 | 92 | 4 | -1 |
| 18 Apr. 2022 |
NAP
1 - 1
ROM
49%
23%
28%
|
88 | 89 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2022 |
ROM
4 - 0
BOG
59%
21%
20%
|
87 | 84 | 3 | +1 |
| 10 Apr. 2022 |
ROM
2 - 1
SAL
79%
14%
7%
|
87 | 68 | 19 | 0 |
Matches
Bologna
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Apr. 2022 |
BOL
2 - 1
INT
14%
22%
64%
|
76 | 92 | 16 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 2022 |
BOL
2 - 2
UDI
41%
25%
34%
|
76 | 79 | 3 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 2022 |
JUV
1 - 1
BOL
76%
16%
8%
|
76 | 91 | 15 | 0 |
| 11 Apr. 2022 |
BOL
2 - 0
SAM
41%
25%
34%
|
75 | 78 | 3 | +1 |
| 04 Apr. 2022 |
ACM
0 - 0
BOL
73%
18%
10%
|
75 | 90 | 15 | 0 |