Roma vs Bologna analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
70.9%
Win probability
2.07
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
2.1%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.6%
4-0
5.1%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
6.6%
3-0
9.9%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
13.6%
2-0
14.4%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.7%
1-0
13.9%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.2%
18.9%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
8.8%
2-2
2.9%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
18.9%
10.2%
Win probability
0.63
Expected goals
0-1
4.3%
1-2
2.8%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
7.7%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
-2
2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Roma
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Apr. 1990 |
JUV
1 - 1
ROM
65%
21%
14%
|
84 | 89 | 5 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 1990 |
USC
0 - 1
ROM
26%
28%
47%
|
84 | 71 | 13 | 0 |
| 08 Apr. 1990 |
ROM
0 - 0
FIO
64%
22%
14%
|
84 | 81 | 3 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 1990 |
ROM
5 - 2
VER
68%
21%
11%
|
84 | 79 | 5 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 1990 |
LAZ
0 - 1
ROM
35%
28%
37%
|
84 | 76 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Bologna
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Apr. 1990 |
BOL
2 - 4
NAP
27%
29%
44%
|
76 | 89 | 13 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 1990 |
LEC
1 - 0
BOL
45%
29%
26%
|
77 | 74 | 3 | -1 |
| 08 Apr. 1990 |
BOL
0 - 0
ACM
21%
28%
51%
|
76 | 91 | 15 | +1 |
| 25 Mar. 1990 |
BOL
1 - 0
SAM
29%
29%
42%
|
76 | 88 | 12 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 1990 |
VER
3 - 2
BOL
53%
27%
20%
|
76 | 79 | 3 | 0 |