Roma vs Bologna analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
64.8%
Win probability
1.76
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
3.7%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.5%
3-0
8.4%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.9%
2-0
14.3%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.3%
1-0
16.2%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.1%
+1
26.9%
22.5%
Draw
0-0
9.2%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
2.8%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
22.5%
12.7%
Win probability
0.62
Expected goals
0-1
5.8%
1-2
3.2%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
9.6%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.1%
-2
2.5%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Roma
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Feb. 1981 |
BRE
1 - 2
ROM
29%
29%
42%
|
80 | 65 | 15 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 1981 |
ROM
1 - 1
COM
75%
18%
7%
|
80 | 64 | 16 | 0 |
| 01 Feb. 1981 |
ROM
1 - 1
AVE
65%
22%
13%
|
80 | 73 | 7 | 0 |
| 25 Jan. 1981 |
PIS
0 - 4
ROM
28%
31%
42%
|
80 | 67 | 13 | 0 |
| 18 Jan. 1981 |
ROM
0 - 0
JUV
38%
29%
33%
|
80 | 86 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Bologna
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Feb. 1981 |
BOL
4 - 0
PRG
54%
26%
20%
|
77 | 77 | 0 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 1981 |
ASC
1 - 1
BOL
53%
28%
18%
|
77 | 75 | 2 | 0 |
| 01 Feb. 1981 |
BOL
1 - 1
COM
69%
21%
10%
|
77 | 64 | 13 | 0 |
| 25 Jan. 1981 |
AVE
2 - 0
BOL
49%
30%
22%
|
78 | 72 | 6 | -1 |
| 18 Jan. 1981 |
BOL
0 - 0
FCC
64%
23%
13%
|
78 | 71 | 7 | 0 |