Roma vs Bologna analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
59.9%
Win probability
1.58
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
<0%
+4
3.4%
3-0
7.1%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.1%
2-0
13.4%
3-1
4.6%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
<0%
+2
18.7%
1-0
17%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.1%
+1
27.3%
24.9%
Draw
0-0
10.7%
1-1
11%
2-2
2.8%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
24.9%
15.1%
Win probability
0.65
Expected goals
0-1
7%
1-2
3.6%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
11.2%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.1%
-2
3.1%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Roma
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Sep. 1979 |
PES
2 - 3
ROM
49%
28%
23%
|
75 | 66 | 9 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 1979 |
ROM
0 - 0
ACM
29%
27%
44%
|
75 | 86 | 11 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 1979 |
BAR
0 - 1
ROM
30%
29%
41%
|
75 | 56 | 19 | 0 |
| 05 Sep. 1979 |
ROM
2 - 1
SAM
76%
15%
9%
|
75 | 60 | 15 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 1979 |
ROM
2 - 2
ASC
54%
22%
24%
|
75 | 72 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Bologna
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Sep. 1979 |
BOL
1 - 1
PRG
47%
29%
24%
|
74 | 80 | 6 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 1979 |
JUV
1 - 1
BOL
81%
13%
5%
|
74 | 87 | 13 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 1979 |
SPA
1 - 0
BOL
40%
28%
33%
|
74 | 57 | 17 | 0 |
| 05 Sep. 1979 |
BOL
2 - 0
ATL
68%
19%
13%
|
73 | 68 | 5 | +1 |
| 26 Aug. 1979 |
BOL
1 - 3
INT
34%
26%
40%
|
74 | 84 | 10 | -1 |