Roma vs Bologna analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
36.3%
Win probability
1.18
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1%
3-0
2.6%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.1%
+3
3.6%
2-0
6.7%
3-1
3%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
10.3%
1-0
11.4%
2-1
7.8%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.1%
28.1%
Draw
0-0
9.7%
1-1
13.2%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
28.1%
35.6%
Win probability
1.16
Expected goals
0-1
11.2%
1-2
7.7%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
20.8%
0-2
6.5%
1-3
3%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
10%
0-3
2.5%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.1%
-3
3.5%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Roma
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Oct. 1966 |
LAZ
0 - 1
ROM
36%
29%
36%
|
79 | 72 | 7 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 1966 |
ROM
0 - 0
CAG
54%
25%
21%
|
79 | 77 | 2 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 1966 |
VIC
0 - 1
ROM
52%
26%
22%
|
79 | 80 | 1 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 1966 |
ROM
0 - 2
NAP
53%
27%
21%
|
79 | 80 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 1966 |
MAN
1 - 0
ROM
32%
29%
39%
|
80 | 69 | 11 | -1 |
Matches
Bologna
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Oct. 1966 |
SPA
2 - 2
BOL
53%
22%
25%
|
85 | 81 | 4 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 1966 |
BOL
2 - 0
LEC
82%
13%
5%
|
85 | 69 | 16 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 1966 |
SPA
1 - 0
BOL
31%
28%
42%
|
85 | 73 | 12 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 1966 |
BOL
2 - 1
TOR
74%
17%
9%
|
85 | 81 | 4 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 1966 |
CAG
4 - 0
BOL
33%
28%
39%
|
85 | 75 | 10 | 0 |