Roma vs Bologna analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
49.6%
Win probability
1.62
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.7%
3-0
4.7%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.2%
2-0
8.7%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.1%
1-0
10.7%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.5%
24.7%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.7%
25.7%
Win probability
1.1
Expected goals
0-1
7.2%
1-2
6.4%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
15.9%
0-2
4%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.9%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
+14%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Roma
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Mar. 1948 |
TOR
4 - 1
ROM
90%
7%
3%
|
77 | 91 | 14 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 1948 |
ROM
0 - 0
BAR
62%
19%
19%
|
77 | 71 | 6 | 0 |
| 29 Feb. 1948 |
LIV
2 - 1
ROM
52%
23%
25%
|
77 | 76 | 1 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 1948 |
ROM
0 - 1
FIO
59%
21%
20%
|
78 | 77 | 1 | -1 |
| 08 Feb. 1948 |
ROM
0 - 0
MOD
57%
22%
21%
|
78 | 80 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Bologna
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Mar. 1948 |
BOL
3 - 2
USA
66%
18%
16%
|
81 | 74 | 7 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 1948 |
ATL
1 - 0
BOL
46%
26%
28%
|
81 | 76 | 5 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 1948 |
BOL
2 - 2
ASL
73%
15%
11%
|
81 | 66 | 15 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 1948 |
PRO
1 - 0
BOL
37%
25%
38%
|
82 | 69 | 13 | -1 |
| 08 Feb. 1948 |
BOL
4 - 2
GEN
58%
21%
21%
|
81 | 78 | 3 | +1 |