Roma vs Bologna analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
40.6%
Win probability
1.46
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.7%
3-0
3.2%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.1%
2-0
6.6%
3-1
4.2%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
12%
1-0
9.1%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.1%
25.4%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
12%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
25.4%
34.1%
Win probability
1.31
Expected goals
0-1
8.2%
1-2
7.9%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
19.1%
0-2
5.4%
1-3
3.4%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.8%
0-3
2.4%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.7%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Roma
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Jan. 1941 |
TRI
4 - 1
ROM
44%
26%
30%
|
79 | 75 | 4 | 0 |
| 12 Jan. 1941 |
ROM
3 - 1
LIV
60%
20%
21%
|
78 | 72 | 6 | +1 |
| 05 Jan. 1941 |
INT
5 - 1
ROM
76%
15%
9%
|
79 | 86 | 7 | -1 |
| 29 Dec. 1940 |
ROM
1 - 3
NOV
65%
19%
16%
|
79 | 72 | 7 | 0 |
| 22 Dec. 1940 |
NAP
2 - 1
ROM
47%
24%
28%
|
79 | 73 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Bologna
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Jan. 1941 |
LAZ
2 - 4
BOL
42%
25%
32%
|
86 | 78 | 8 | 0 |
| 12 Jan. 1941 |
BOL
2 - 0
TRI
75%
16%
10%
|
86 | 75 | 11 | 0 |
| 05 Jan. 1941 |
BOL
5 - 3
FIO
72%
17%
11%
|
86 | 73 | 13 | 0 |
| 29 Dec. 1940 |
LIV
2 - 2
BOL
35%
27%
39%
|
86 | 72 | 14 | 0 |
| 22 Dec. 1940 |
BOL
4 - 2
ACM
69%
19%
13%
|
86 | 78 | 8 | 0 |