Roma vs Bologna analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
55%
Win probability
1.81
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.7%
3-0
5.6%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.9%
2-0
9.3%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.9%
1-0
10.3%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.8%
23.1%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
23%
22%
Win probability
1.06
Expected goals
0-1
6%
1-2
5.8%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
13.9%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.7%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Roma
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Nov. 1936 |
ROM
0 - 0
GEN
64%
20%
16%
|
84 | 75 | 9 | 0 |
| 22 Nov. 1936 |
JUV
5 - 1
ROM
63%
19%
18%
|
84 | 86 | 2 | 0 |
| 08 Nov. 1936 |
ROM
5 - 2
BAR
68%
18%
14%
|
84 | 69 | 15 | 0 |
| 01 Nov. 1936 |
TRI
2 - 2
ROM
37%
26%
37%
|
84 | 75 | 9 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 1936 |
ROM
3 - 1
LAZ
57%
21%
22%
|
84 | 78 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Bologna
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Nov. 1936 |
BOL
1 - 1
JUV
56%
22%
22%
|
85 | 87 | 2 | 0 |
| 22 Nov. 1936 |
NAP
0 - 1
BOL
44%
26%
30%
|
84 | 78 | 6 | +1 |
| 08 Nov. 1936 |
BOL
0 - 1
TOR
69%
18%
14%
|
85 | 79 | 6 | -1 |
| 01 Nov. 1936 |
GEN
0 - 1
BOL
48%
24%
28%
|
85 | 75 | 10 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 1936 |
BOL
4 - 1
SAM
79%
13%
9%
|
84 | 74 | 10 | +1 |