Roma vs Bologna analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
61.2%
Win probability
2.24
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.3%
4-0
3.4%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.7%
3-0
6.1%
4-1
4%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
11.4%
2-0
8.2%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
2.4%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.3%
1-0
7.3%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
4.3%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
22.4%
19.6%
Draw
0-0
3.3%
1-1
8.7%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
19.6%
19.1%
Win probability
1.18
Expected goals
0-1
3.9%
1-2
5.1%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
11.8%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
5.1%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Roma
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Oct. 1931 |
PRO
2 - 2
ROM
12%
17%
70%
|
85 | 65 | 20 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 1931 |
ROM
2 - 0
JUV
53%
22%
25%
|
84 | 88 | 4 | +1 |
| 11 Oct. 1931 |
USA
0 - 1
ROM
36%
24%
39%
|
84 | 69 | 15 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 1931 |
ROM
2 - 1
LEO
77%
14%
10%
|
84 | 74 | 10 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 1931 |
TRI
2 - 0
ROM
28%
25%
48%
|
85 | 67 | 18 | -1 |
Matches
Bologna
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Oct. 1931 |
BOL
3 - 0
ACM
74%
15%
11%
|
85 | 77 | 8 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 1931 |
TOR
1 - 1
BOL
47%
24%
30%
|
85 | 80 | 5 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 1931 |
FIO
1 - 3
BOL
50%
23%
27%
|
85 | 81 | 4 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 1931 |
BOL
5 - 1
LAZ
68%
19%
13%
|
84 | 77 | 7 | +1 |
| 27 Sep. 1931 |
BAR
1 - 2
BOL
15%
19%
66%
|
84 | 65 | 19 | 0 |