Inter-Cities Fairs Cup Last 16
Global 3-1
Roma vs Os Belenenses analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
66.8%
Win probability
2.46
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.3%
5-0
2.1%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.3%
4-0
4.3%
5-1
2.3%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
7.2%
3-0
6.9%
4-1
4.8%
5-2
1.3%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
13.2%
2-0
8.5%
3-1
7.7%
4-2
2.7%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
19.4%
1-0
6.9%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
4.3%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.8%
17.7%
Draw
0-0
2.8%
1-1
7.7%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
17.7%
15.5%
Win probability
1.12
Expected goals
0-1
3.1%
1-2
4.3%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0.1%
-1
9.9%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
4%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
-12%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Roma
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Dec. 1963 |
SPA
2 - 0
ROM
37%
26%
37%
|
83 | 76 | 7 | 0 |
| 24 Nov. 1963 |
FIO
0 - 0
ROM
59%
21%
20%
|
83 | 85 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 Nov. 1963 |
ROM
3 - 0
TOR
73%
16%
11%
|
83 | 77 | 6 | 0 |
| 03 Nov. 1963 |
BOL
4 - 0
ROM
59%
21%
21%
|
83 | 83 | 0 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 1963 |
ROM
2 - 0
HER
84%
10%
7%
|
83 | 33 | 50 | 0 |
Matches
Os Belenenses
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Dec. 1963 |
BEL
1 - 1
SLB
32%
23%
45%
|
81 | 87 | 6 | 0 |
| 24 Nov. 1963 |
OLH
0 - 1
BEL
31%
27%
42%
|
81 | 58 | 23 | 0 |
| 17 Nov. 1963 |
BEL
3 - 0
VST
77%
14%
9%
|
80 | 65 | 15 | +1 |
| 10 Nov. 1963 |
VAR
1 - 3
BEL
29%
23%
48%
|
80 | 65 | 15 | 0 |
| 03 Nov. 1963 |
BEL
4 - 1
LEX
71%
17%
13%
|
80 | 69 | 11 | 0 |