Champions League Playoffs Quarter-finals
Global 4-4
Roma vs Barcelona analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
15.3%
Win probability
0.82
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.6%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.9%
2-0
2.2%
3-1
1.1%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.5%
1-0
5.3%
2-1
4.2%
3-2
1.1%
4-3
0.1%
5-4
<0%
+1
10.7%
21.5%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.5%
63.2%
Win probability
1.91
Expected goals
0-1
12.5%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
25.1%
0-2
12%
1-3
6.2%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.1%
-2
19.5%
0-3
7.6%
1-4
3%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0%
-3
11.1%
0-4
3.6%
1-5
1.1%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
4.9%
0-5
1.4%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0%
-5
1.8%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Roma
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Apr. 2018 |
ROM
0 - 2
FIO
58%
22%
20%
|
87 | 85 | 2 | 0 |
| 04 Apr. 2018 |
FCB
4 - 1
ROM
85%
10%
5%
|
87 | 95 | 8 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 2018 |
BOL
1 - 1
ROM
17%
21%
63%
|
88 | 77 | 11 | -1 |
| 18 Mar. 2018 |
CRO
0 - 2
ROM
13%
19%
68%
|
87 | 73 | 14 | +1 |
| 13 Mar. 2018 |
ROM
1 - 0
SHA
56%
22%
22%
|
87 | 85 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Barcelona
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Apr. 2018 |
FCB
3 - 1
LEG
95%
4%
1%
|
95 | 79 | 16 | 0 |
| 04 Apr. 2018 |
FCB
4 - 1
ROM
85%
10%
5%
|
95 | 87 | 8 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 2018 |
SEV
2 - 2
FCB
13%
19%
69%
|
96 | 87 | 9 | -1 |
| 18 Mar. 2018 |
FCB
2 - 0
ATH
93%
5%
1%
|
96 | 84 | 12 | 0 |
| 14 Mar. 2018 |
FCB
3 - 0
CHL
84%
11%
6%
|
96 | 90 | 6 | 0 |