Roma vs Barcelona analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
42.3%
Win probability
1.48
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.8%
3-0
3.5%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.4%
2-0
7.1%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.6%
1-0
9.6%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.7%
25.4%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.4%
32.2%
Win probability
1.26
Expected goals
0-1
8.2%
1-2
7.6%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
18.5%
0-2
5.1%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.1%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.4%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Roma
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Feb. 2002 |
ROM
1 - 0
PRG
66%
20%
14%
|
90 | 82 | 8 | 0 |
| 20 Feb. 2002 |
FCB
1 - 1
ROM
63%
20%
17%
|
90 | 91 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 2002 |
BRE
0 - 0
ROM
30%
26%
45%
|
90 | 82 | 8 | 0 |
| 10 Feb. 2002 |
ROM
0 - 0
JUV
45%
26%
30%
|
90 | 91 | 1 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 2002 |
FIO
2 - 2
ROM
32%
26%
42%
|
90 | 83 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Barcelona
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Feb. 2002 |
VCF
2 - 0
FCB
43%
25%
32%
|
91 | 91 | 0 | 0 |
| 20 Feb. 2002 |
FCB
1 - 1
ROM
63%
20%
17%
|
91 | 90 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 2002 |
FCB
3 - 2
DEP
62%
20%
18%
|
91 | 90 | 1 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 2002 |
MLL
0 - 0
FCB
32%
25%
43%
|
91 | 87 | 4 | 0 |
| 06 Feb. 2002 |
FCB
2 - 0
RSO
76%
15%
10%
|
91 | 84 | 7 | 0 |