Cup Winners Cup 1/16
Global 6-0
Roma vs Ballymena United analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
85.2%
Win probability
3.26
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.2%
10-1
0.1%
+9
0.3%
8-0
0.6%
9-1
0.2%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.8%
7-0
1.4%
8-1
0.4%
9-2
0.1%
+7
1.9%
6-0
3.1%
7-1
1%
8-2
0.2%
9-3
<0%
+6
4.3%
5-0
5.7%
6-1
2.3%
7-2
0.4%
8-3
<0%
+5
8.3%
4-0
8.7%
5-1
4.1%
6-2
0.8%
7-3
0.1%
+4
13.8%
3-0
10.7%
4-1
6.4%
5-2
1.5%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
18.8%
2-0
9.8%
3-1
7.8%
4-2
2.3%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.3%
1-0
6%
2-1
7.2%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
16.7%
9.7%
Draw
0-0
1.8%
1-1
4.4%
2-2
2.6%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
9.7%
5%
Win probability
0.73
Expected goals
0-1
1.4%
1-2
1.6%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
3.7%
0-2
0.5%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Roma
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Sep. 1981 |
ROM
2 - 1
CAG
65%
22%
13%
|
83 | 73 | 10 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 1981 |
CES
1 - 1
ROM
25%
31%
44%
|
83 | 62 | 21 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 1981 |
BAL
0 - 2
ROM
20%
24%
57%
|
82 | 65 | 17 | +1 |
| 13 Sep. 1981 |
ROM
0 - 0
AVE
67%
21%
12%
|
82 | 72 | 10 | 0 |
| 17 Jun. 1981 |
TOR
1 - 1
ROM
53%
26%
21%
|
83 | 82 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Ballymena United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Sep. 1981 |
BAL
0 - 2
ROM
20%
24%
57%
|
65 | 82 | 17 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 1980 |
FVF
3 - 0
BAL
83%
10%
7%
|
65 | 79 | 14 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 1980 |
BAL
2 - 1
FVF
23%
23%
54%
|
64 | 79 | 15 | +1 |
| 27 Sep. 1978 |
BAL
0 - 3
KSK
43%
24%
32%
|
65 | 78 | 13 | -1 |
| 13 Sep. 1978 |
KSK
3 - 0
BAL
68%
18%
15%
|
66 | 77 | 11 | -1 |