Roma vs Atalanta analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
71.8%
Win probability
2.23
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.1%
5-0
2.4%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.1%
4-0
5.4%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.4%
3-0
9.7%
4-1
3.9%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14.2%
2-0
13.1%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.5%
1-0
11.7%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.9%
17.7%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
8.4%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
17.7%
10.5%
Win probability
0.72
Expected goals
0-1
3.8%
1-2
3%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
7.7%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2.2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Roma
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 May. 2003 |
ROM
1 - 4
ACM
54%
24%
22%
|
89 | 89 | 0 | 0 |
| 17 May. 2003 |
CHI
0 - 0
ROM
33%
26%
42%
|
89 | 82 | 7 | 0 |
| 10 May. 2003 |
ROM
3 - 1
TOR
75%
16%
9%
|
89 | 76 | 13 | 0 |
| 03 May. 2003 |
REG
2 - 3
ROM
20%
26%
54%
|
89 | 77 | 12 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 2003 |
ROM
2 - 1
ACM
50%
25%
25%
|
89 | 90 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Atalanta
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 May. 2003 |
ATL
2 - 1
COM
66%
21%
12%
|
80 | 72 | 8 | 0 |
| 10 May. 2003 |
EMP
0 - 0
ATL
44%
26%
31%
|
80 | 77 | 3 | 0 |
| 03 May. 2003 |
ATL
1 - 1
INT
24%
25%
52%
|
80 | 89 | 9 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 2003 |
ATL
2 - 2
TOR
58%
24%
18%
|
80 | 76 | 4 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 2003 |
PRG
1 - 0
ATL
53%
24%
22%
|
81 | 83 | 2 | -1 |