Roma vs Atalanta analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
67.8%
Win probability
2.03
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.8%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.3%
4-0
4.5%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6%
3-0
8.8%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
12.6%
2-0
13.1%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.8%
1-0
12.9%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25%
19.8%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
9.4%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.8%
12.4%
Win probability
0.73
Expected goals
0-1
4.6%
1-2
3.4%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
9%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.7%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Roma
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Apr. 1991 |
ROM
2 - 1
BIF
74%
16%
10%
|
88 | 85 | 3 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 1991 |
ACM
1 - 1
ROM
55%
25%
20%
|
88 | 91 | 3 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 1991 |
ROM
0 - 1
SAM
48%
27%
25%
|
88 | 90 | 2 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 1991 |
BIF
0 - 0
ROM
49%
23%
28%
|
87 | 85 | 2 | +1 |
| 07 Apr. 1991 |
ROM
1 - 1
LAZ
76%
17%
7%
|
88 | 79 | 9 | -1 |
Matches
Atalanta
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Apr. 1991 |
ATL
0 - 0
PAR
56%
26%
18%
|
82 | 78 | 4 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 1991 |
NAP
2 - 0
ATL
70%
19%
12%
|
82 | 88 | 6 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 1991 |
ATL
4 - 0
BOL
58%
25%
17%
|
82 | 76 | 6 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 1991 |
PIS
0 - 2
ATL
40%
28%
32%
|
81 | 76 | 5 | +1 |
| 24 Mar. 1991 |
ATL
4 - 1
LAZ
54%
28%
18%
|
81 | 79 | 2 | 0 |