Roma vs Atalanta analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
69.6%
Win probability
2.29
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.1%
5-0
2.3%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.1%
4-0
4.9%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.2%
3-0
8.6%
4-1
4.2%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.7%
2-0
11.3%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.7%
1-0
9.9%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.2%
17.9%
Draw
0-0
4.3%
1-1
8.4%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
17.9%
12.5%
Win probability
0.86
Expected goals
0-1
3.7%
1-2
3.6%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
8.7%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
2.9%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Roma
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 May. 1972 |
ROM
1 - 0
VER
65%
21%
13%
|
80 | 72 | 8 | 0 |
| 21 May. 1972 |
TOR
2 - 0
ROM
57%
25%
18%
|
81 | 84 | 3 | -1 |
| 07 May. 1972 |
ROM
4 - 0
FCC
75%
18%
7%
|
80 | 68 | 12 | +1 |
| 23 Apr. 1972 |
ATL
1 - 1
ROM
32%
31%
37%
|
81 | 70 | 11 | -1 |
| 16 Apr. 1972 |
BOL
2 - 2
ROM
57%
25%
18%
|
81 | 83 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Atalanta
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 May. 1972 |
ATL
3 - 1
NAP
31%
31%
39%
|
70 | 82 | 12 | 0 |
| 21 May. 1972 |
ATL
0 - 1
ACM
15%
28%
56%
|
71 | 88 | 17 | -1 |
| 07 May. 1972 |
BOL
1 - 1
ATL
69%
20%
11%
|
70 | 82 | 12 | +1 |
| 23 Apr. 1972 |
ATL
1 - 1
ROM
32%
31%
37%
|
70 | 81 | 11 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 1972 |
TOR
1 - 0
ATL
71%
20%
10%
|
70 | 84 | 14 | 0 |