Roma vs Atalanta analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
60.9%
Win probability
1.75
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
3.2%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.1%
3-0
7.2%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
10%
2-0
12.4%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.9%
1-0
14.1%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26%
23.1%
Draw
0-0
8.1%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
23.1%
16%
Win probability
0.77
Expected goals
0-1
6.2%
1-2
4.1%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
11.3%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.6%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Roma
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Feb. 1966 |
INT
2 - 2
ROM
76%
15%
8%
|
81 | 90 | 9 | 0 |
| 06 Feb. 1966 |
ROM
1 - 0
SAM
60%
23%
18%
|
80 | 73 | 7 | +1 |
| 30 Jan. 1966 |
SPA
2 - 1
ROM
39%
27%
35%
|
81 | 74 | 7 | -1 |
| 23 Jan. 1966 |
ROM
1 - 0
VIC
56%
24%
20%
|
81 | 78 | 3 | 0 |
| 16 Jan. 1966 |
VAR
0 - 0
ROM
31%
28%
41%
|
81 | 68 | 13 | 0 |
Matches
Atalanta
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Feb. 1966 |
ATL
0 - 0
BRE
50%
28%
23%
|
74 | 74 | 0 | 0 |
| 06 Feb. 1966 |
ATL
0 - 2
INT
17%
23%
60%
|
75 | 90 | 15 | -1 |
| 30 Jan. 1966 |
JUV
1 - 1
ATL
69%
20%
11%
|
74 | 87 | 13 | +1 |
| 23 Jan. 1966 |
FIO
1 - 0
ATL
68%
20%
12%
|
75 | 86 | 11 | -1 |
| 16 Jan. 1966 |
TOR
2 - 1
ATL
67%
21%
12%
|
75 | 83 | 8 | 0 |