Roma vs Atalanta analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
71.5%
Win probability
2.4
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.4%
5-0
2.5%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.6%
4-0
5.3%
5-1
2.2%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.9%
3-0
8.9%
4-1
4.5%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14.5%
2-0
11.1%
3-1
7.6%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.9%
1-0
9.3%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.6%
16.9%
Draw
0-0
3.9%
1-1
7.9%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
16.9%
11.6%
Win probability
0.86
Expected goals
0-1
3.3%
1-2
3.4%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
8.1%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.7%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Roma
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Feb. 1964 |
ROM
1 - 0
GEN
77%
15%
9%
|
84 | 73 | 11 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 1964 |
SAM
0 - 2
ROM
35%
27%
39%
|
84 | 74 | 10 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 1964 |
ROM
3 - 1
KOL
59%
19%
21%
|
83 | 83 | 0 | +1 |
| 26 Jan. 1964 |
ROM
0 - 0
BAR
79%
14%
7%
|
83 | 69 | 14 | 0 |
| 12 Jan. 1964 |
CAT
0 - 0
ROM
27%
26%
47%
|
83 | 71 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
Atalanta
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Feb. 1964 |
ATL
1 - 1
BOL
39%
26%
35%
|
79 | 85 | 6 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 1964 |
ATL
1 - 7
FIO
33%
26%
41%
|
79 | 86 | 7 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 1964 |
CAT
0 - 0
ATL
36%
28%
35%
|
79 | 72 | 7 | 0 |
| 12 Jan. 1964 |
ATL
1 - 3
INT
31%
27%
42%
|
79 | 87 | 8 | 0 |
| 05 Jan. 1964 |
TOR
3 - 0
ATL
46%
26%
28%
|
79 | 77 | 2 | 0 |