Roma vs Atalanta analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
65%
Win probability
2.17
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.4%
4-0
4%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
6%
3-0
7.5%
4-1
3.9%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.2%
2-0
10.3%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.6%
1-0
9.6%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.5%
19.5%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
9.1%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
19.5%
15.5%
Win probability
0.96
Expected goals
0-1
4.2%
1-2
4.4%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
10.4%
0-2
2%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
3.8%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Roma
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Dec. 1948 |
JUV
0 - 0
ROM
76%
14%
10%
|
76 | 85 | 9 | 0 |
| 19 Dec. 1948 |
PRO
1 - 1
ROM
50%
22%
28%
|
76 | 73 | 3 | 0 |
| 12 Dec. 1948 |
ROM
4 - 1
NOV
58%
21%
21%
|
75 | 70 | 5 | +1 |
| 08 Dec. 1948 |
ROM
0 - 2
PAD
58%
20%
22%
|
76 | 73 | 3 | -1 |
| 05 Dec. 1948 |
PAL
2 - 1
ROM
39%
25%
37%
|
76 | 72 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Atalanta
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Dec. 1948 |
ATL
0 - 2
BAR
57%
22%
22%
|
74 | 69 | 5 | 0 |
| 23 Dec. 1948 |
ATL
1 - 5
SAM
37%
23%
40%
|
75 | 79 | 4 | -1 |
| 19 Dec. 1948 |
ATL
1 - 2
INT
40%
25%
35%
|
75 | 81 | 6 | 0 |
| 12 Dec. 1948 |
ASL
0 - 1
ATL
59%
22%
20%
|
75 | 73 | 2 | 0 |
| 05 Dec. 1948 |
FIO
2 - 0
ATL
69%
17%
14%
|
75 | 76 | 1 | 0 |