Roma vs Atalanta analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
71.5%
Win probability
2.37
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.3%
5-0
2.5%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.5%
4-0
5.3%
5-1
2.1%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.8%
3-0
9%
4-1
4.4%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14.4%
2-0
11.4%
3-1
7.5%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21%
1-0
9.6%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.9%
17.1%
Draw
0-0
4.1%
1-1
8%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
17.1%
11.4%
Win probability
0.83
Expected goals
0-1
3.4%
1-2
3.4%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
8.1%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.6%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Roma
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Dec. 1946 |
ROM
0 - 0
MOD
64%
19%
17%
|
80 | 75 | 5 | 0 |
| 24 Nov. 1946 |
INT
0 - 0
ROM
64%
19%
17%
|
80 | 83 | 3 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 1946 |
ROM
1 - 5
JUV
44%
24%
32%
|
81 | 86 | 5 | -1 |
| 10 Nov. 1946 |
ACM
3 - 1
ROM
64%
19%
17%
|
81 | 81 | 0 | 0 |
| 03 Nov. 1946 |
ROM
2 - 1
BRE
66%
19%
15%
|
81 | 74 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Atalanta
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Dec. 1946 |
FIO
1 - 0
ATL
72%
16%
12%
|
72 | 76 | 4 | 0 |
| 24 Nov. 1946 |
ATL
1 - 0
GEN
38%
24%
37%
|
71 | 78 | 7 | +1 |
| 12 Nov. 1946 |
NAP
3 - 1
ATL
59%
23%
19%
|
72 | 76 | 4 | -1 |
| 10 Nov. 1946 |
BAR
2 - 0
ATL
49%
25%
26%
|
73 | 68 | 5 | -1 |
| 03 Nov. 1946 |
ATL
1 - 3
ACM
39%
24%
37%
|
73 | 80 | 7 | 0 |