Roma vs Atalanta analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
72.7%
Win probability
2.49
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.1%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.6%
5-0
2.8%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.9%
4-0
5.6%
5-1
2.4%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.4%
3-0
8.9%
4-1
4.8%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14.9%
2-0
10.7%
3-1
7.8%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21%
1-0
8.6%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.1%
16.2%
Draw
0-0
3.5%
1-1
7.5%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
16.2%
11.1%
Win probability
0.87
Expected goals
0-1
3%
1-2
3.3%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
7.7%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
2.6%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Roma
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Nov. 1942 |
ROM
0 - 4
TOR
56%
22%
22%
|
83 | 83 | 0 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 1942 |
VNZ
0 - 0
ROM
54%
23%
23%
|
83 | 81 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 1942 |
ROM
1 - 1
ACM
60%
21%
19%
|
83 | 80 | 3 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 1942 |
VIC
1 - 2
ROM
30%
24%
46%
|
83 | 68 | 15 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 1942 |
ROM
1 - 0
FIO
66%
19%
16%
|
83 | 75 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Atalanta
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Nov. 1942 |
ATL
3 - 1
GEN
34%
24%
42%
|
69 | 82 | 13 | 0 |
| 01 Nov. 1942 |
JUV
5 - 1
ATL
74%
15%
10%
|
70 | 81 | 11 | -1 |
| 25 Oct. 1942 |
ATL
0 - 2
LIV
50%
23%
28%
|
71 | 73 | 2 | -1 |
| 18 Oct. 1942 |
INT
1 - 0
ATL
70%
17%
13%
|
71 | 80 | 9 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 1942 |
ATL
2 - 0
BAR
62%
19%
19%
|
71 | 64 | 7 | 0 |