Roma vs Atalanta analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
65.6%
Win probability
2.36
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.1%
5-0
1.9%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.9%
4-0
4.1%
5-1
2.1%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
6.7%
3-0
7%
4-1
4.5%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
12.8%
2-0
8.8%
3-1
7.6%
4-2
2.4%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.3%
1-0
7.5%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
4.1%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.2%
18.3%
Draw
0-0
3.2%
1-1
8.2%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
18.3%
16%
Win probability
1.09
Expected goals
0-1
3.4%
1-2
4.4%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0.1%
-1
10.3%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.1%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
+5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Roma
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Feb. 1938 |
ASL
2 - 0
ROM
23%
21%
57%
|
82 | 64 | 18 | 0 |
| 06 Feb. 1938 |
ROM
2 - 1
LAZ
50%
22%
28%
|
81 | 81 | 0 | +1 |
| 30 Jan. 1938 |
NAP
2 - 2
ROM
38%
25%
36%
|
81 | 74 | 7 | 0 |
| 23 Jan. 1938 |
ROM
1 - 0
ACL
58%
20%
22%
|
81 | 75 | 6 | 0 |
| 16 Jan. 1938 |
FIO
1 - 4
ROM
41%
26%
33%
|
81 | 75 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Atalanta
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Feb. 1938 |
ATL
1 - 3
LIV
64%
18%
17%
|
70 | 66 | 4 | 0 |
| 06 Feb. 1938 |
TRI
0 - 0
ATL
57%
20%
22%
|
70 | 77 | 7 | 0 |
| 30 Jan. 1938 |
ATL
1 - 2
BOL
30%
26%
45%
|
71 | 84 | 13 | -1 |
| 23 Jan. 1938 |
JUV
5 - 0
ATL
79%
13%
8%
|
71 | 86 | 15 | 0 |
| 16 Jan. 1938 |
ATL
3 - 4
GEN
42%
22%
36%
|
72 | 79 | 7 | -1 |