Roma vs ACO Liguria analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
69%
Win probability
2.51
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.4%
5-0
2.3%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.6%
4-0
4.7%
5-1
2.5%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
7.8%
3-0
7.5%
4-1
4.9%
5-2
1.3%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
13.9%
2-0
8.9%
3-1
7.9%
4-2
2.6%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
19.9%
1-0
7.1%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
4.2%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.7%
17%
Draw
0-0
2.8%
1-1
7.5%
2-2
5%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
17%
14%
Win probability
1.06
Expected goals
0-1
3%
1-2
4%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0.1%
-1
9.1%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
3.5%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Roma
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Feb. 1943 |
ACL
3 - 0
ROM
37%
24%
39%
|
80 | 68 | 12 | 0 |
| 14 Feb. 1943 |
TOR
4 - 0
ROM
72%
16%
12%
|
80 | 84 | 4 | 0 |
| 07 Feb. 1943 |
ROM
2 - 1
VNZ
57%
22%
21%
|
80 | 79 | 1 | 0 |
| 31 Jan. 1943 |
ACM
4 - 1
ROM
62%
21%
18%
|
81 | 79 | 2 | -1 |
| 24 Jan. 1943 |
ROM
1 - 0
VIC
78%
13%
9%
|
81 | 66 | 15 | 0 |
Matches
ACO Liguria
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Feb. 1943 |
ACL
3 - 0
ROM
37%
24%
39%
|
68 | 80 | 12 | 0 |
| 14 Feb. 1943 |
ACL
1 - 2
GEN
30%
23%
47%
|
68 | 80 | 12 | 0 |
| 07 Feb. 1943 |
JUV
4 - 1
ACL
81%
12%
7%
|
68 | 82 | 14 | 0 |
| 31 Jan. 1943 |
ACL
1 - 2
LIV
43%
24%
33%
|
69 | 76 | 7 | -1 |
| 24 Jan. 1943 |
INT
5 - 1
ACL
73%
16%
11%
|
69 | 81 | 12 | 0 |