Roma vs Spezia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
78.5%
Win probability
2.64
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.8%
6-0
1.6%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.1%
5-0
3.8%
6-1
1.2%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
5.1%
4-0
7.1%
5-1
2.6%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
10.2%
3-0
10.8%
4-1
5%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
16.9%
2-0
12.3%
3-1
7.6%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.9%
1-0
9.3%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.1%
13.9%
Draw
0-0
3.5%
1-1
6.6%
2-2
3.1%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
13.9%
7.6%
Win probability
0.71
Expected goals
0-1
2.5%
1-2
2.3%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
5.7%
0-2
0.9%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.6%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
+12%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Roma
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Jan. 2021 |
ROM
0 - 3
SPE
81%
12%
6%
|
87 | 74 | 13 | 0 |
| 15 Jan. 2021 |
LAZ
3 - 0
ROM
39%
23%
38%
|
87 | 86 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 Jan. 2021 |
ROM
2 - 2
INT
42%
24%
34%
|
87 | 90 | 3 | 0 |
| 06 Jan. 2021 |
CRO
1 - 3
ROM
13%
19%
68%
|
87 | 71 | 16 | 0 |
| 03 Jan. 2021 |
ROM
1 - 0
SAM
74%
15%
11%
|
87 | 79 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Spezia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Jan. 2021 |
ROM
0 - 3
SPE
81%
12%
6%
|
74 | 87 | 13 | 0 |
| 16 Jan. 2021 |
TOR
0 - 0
SPE
66%
19%
15%
|
74 | 80 | 6 | 0 |
| 11 Jan. 2021 |
SPE
2 - 1
SAM
32%
25%
43%
|
74 | 79 | 5 | 0 |
| 06 Jan. 2021 |
NAP
1 - 2
SPE
79%
14%
7%
|
73 | 88 | 15 | +1 |
| 03 Jan. 2021 |
SPE
0 - 1
VER
42%
27%
32%
|
73 | 77 | 4 | 0 |