Roma vs Spezia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
80%
Win probability
2.56
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.7%
6-0
1.7%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
<0%
+6
2.1%
5-0
3.9%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.1%
+5
5%
4-0
7.7%
5-1
2.3%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
10.3%
3-0
12%
4-1
4.5%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
17.3%
2-0
14%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.6%
1-0
11%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.6%
13.6%
Draw
0-0
4.3%
1-1
6.5%
2-2
2.4%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
13.6%
6.4%
Win probability
0.59
Expected goals
0-1
2.5%
1-2
1.9%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
5%
0-2
0.7%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.2%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Roma
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Dec. 2015 |
NAP
0 - 0
ROM
65%
19%
16%
|
86 | 90 | 4 | 0 |
| 09 Dec. 2015 |
ROM
0 - 0
BAT
71%
17%
12%
|
86 | 79 | 7 | 0 |
| 05 Dec. 2015 |
TOR
1 - 1
ROM
42%
25%
32%
|
86 | 85 | 1 | 0 |
| 29 Nov. 2015 |
ROM
0 - 2
ATL
75%
16%
9%
|
87 | 79 | 8 | -1 |
| 24 Nov. 2015 |
FCB
6 - 1
ROM
89%
8%
3%
|
87 | 98 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Spezia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Dec. 2015 |
SPE
2 - 1
LAT
58%
25%
17%
|
71 | 66 | 5 | 0 |
| 09 Dec. 2015 |
SPE
1 - 0
VIC
53%
26%
21%
|
71 | 67 | 4 | 0 |
| 05 Dec. 2015 |
PES
2 - 2
SPE
51%
25%
24%
|
70 | 71 | 1 | +1 |
| 01 Dec. 2015 |
SPE
2 - 0
SAL
54%
24%
22%
|
70 | 63 | 7 | 0 |
| 27 Nov. 2015 |
SPE
0 - 1
CRO
44%
27%
30%
|
70 | 72 | 2 | 0 |