Roma vs Ascoli analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
80.9%
Win probability
2.68
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.7%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.9%
6-0
1.9%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
<0%
+6
2.4%
5-0
4.3%
6-1
1.2%
7-2
0.1%
+5
5.6%
4-0
7.9%
5-1
2.6%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
11%
3-0
11.9%
4-1
4.9%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
17.7%
2-0
13.3%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
22.3%
1-0
9.9%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.7%
12.9%
Draw
0-0
3.7%
1-1
6.1%
2-2
2.5%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
12.9%
6.2%
Win probability
0.62
Expected goals
0-1
2.3%
1-2
1.9%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
4.8%
0-2
0.7%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.2%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
-11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Roma
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Aug. 1985 |
ROM
4 - 1
FCC
82%
12%
6%
|
85 | 59 | 26 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 1985 |
MES
1 - 0
ROM
27%
29%
44%
|
85 | 57 | 28 | 0 |
| 19 May. 1985 |
TOR
1 - 0
ROM
42%
28%
29%
|
86 | 81 | 5 | -1 |
| 12 May. 1985 |
ROM
4 - 3
INT
56%
24%
20%
|
85 | 85 | 0 | +1 |
| 05 May. 1985 |
USC
0 - 5
ROM
27%
31%
43%
|
85 | 61 | 24 | 0 |
Matches
Ascoli
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Aug. 1985 |
ASC
1 - 1
BAR
69%
18%
12%
|
72 | 66 | 6 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 1985 |
ASC
2 - 1
FCC
74%
16%
10%
|
72 | 59 | 13 | 0 |
| 19 May. 1985 |
INT
5 - 1
ASC
71%
19%
10%
|
72 | 84 | 12 | 0 |
| 12 May. 1985 |
ASC
3 - 2
USC
69%
20%
11%
|
72 | 60 | 12 | 0 |
| 05 May. 1985 |
ACM
2 - 1
ASC
72%
18%
10%
|
72 | 78 | 6 | 0 |