Roma vs Ascoli analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
54.8%
Win probability
1.91
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.4%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.9%
3-0
5.4%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.1%
2-0
8.5%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.7%
1-0
8.9%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.1%
22.3%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.3%
22.9%
Win probability
1.16
Expected goals
0-1
5.4%
1-2
6%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
14%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.2%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
-28%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Roma
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 May. 1978 |
ATL
0 - 1
ROM
45%
29%
26%
|
77 | 71 | 6 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 1978 |
ROM
1 - 1
JUV
26%
29%
45%
|
77 | 89 | 12 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 1978 |
INT
4 - 2
ROM
58%
26%
16%
|
77 | 83 | 6 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 1978 |
ROM
2 - 1
VER
58%
25%
17%
|
77 | 74 | 3 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 1978 |
GEN
1 - 0
ROM
57%
25%
19%
|
77 | 71 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Ascoli
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Jun. 1978 |
MOD
2 - 3
ASC
30%
30%
40%
|
72 | 48 | 24 | 0 |
| 04 Jun. 1978 |
ASC
3 - 2
SAM
62%
23%
15%
|
72 | 65 | 7 | 0 |
| 28 May. 1978 |
ASS
4 - 2
ASC
38%
29%
34%
|
73 | 63 | 10 | -1 |
| 21 May. 1978 |
ASC
2 - 0
TAR
67%
22%
11%
|
73 | 62 | 11 | 0 |
| 14 May. 1978 |
FCC
1 - 2
ASC
48%
26%
26%
|
72 | 66 | 6 | +1 |