Roma vs Ascoli analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
63.9%
Win probability
1.69
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
3.4%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.2%
3-0
8.2%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.4%
2-0
14.5%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
<0%
+2
20%
1-0
17.1%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.1%
+1
27.4%
23.3%
Draw
0-0
10.1%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
2.6%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
23.3%
12.8%
Win probability
0.6
Expected goals
0-1
6.1%
1-2
3.1%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0%
-1
9.7%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
-2
2.5%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
-6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Roma
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 May. 1976 |
INT
2 - 0
ROM
62%
23%
15%
|
79 | 83 | 4 | 0 |
| 02 May. 1976 |
ROM
0 - 3
NAP
44%
28%
27%
|
79 | 83 | 4 | 0 |
| 25 Apr. 1976 |
JUV
1 - 1
ROM
77%
16%
7%
|
79 | 88 | 9 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 1976 |
ROM
0 - 0
BOL
48%
27%
25%
|
79 | 79 | 0 | 0 |
| 11 Apr. 1976 |
ROM
1 - 2
PRG
64%
23%
13%
|
79 | 70 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Ascoli
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 May. 1976 |
ASC
0 - 0
BOL
34%
31%
35%
|
69 | 80 | 11 | 0 |
| 02 May. 1976 |
SAM
1 - 0
ASC
56%
27%
17%
|
69 | 71 | 2 | 0 |
| 25 Apr. 1976 |
PRG
1 - 1
ASC
56%
27%
17%
|
69 | 70 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 1976 |
ASC
2 - 0
INT
23%
28%
49%
|
68 | 83 | 15 | +1 |
| 11 Apr. 1976 |
JUV
2 - 1
ASC
82%
13%
5%
|
68 | 88 | 20 | 0 |