Roma vs Varese analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
64.1%
Win probability
1.76
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
3.6%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.5%
3-0
8.2%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.8%
2-0
13.9%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20%
1-0
15.9%
2-1
9%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
+1
26.8%
22.6%
Draw
0-0
9%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
2.9%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
22.6%
13.2%
Win probability
0.65
Expected goals
0-1
5.9%
1-2
3.3%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
9.9%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.1%
-2
2.7%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Roma
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Feb. 1975 |
ACM
1 - 1
ROM
67%
21%
12%
|
80 | 86 | 6 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 1975 |
ROM
2 - 1
BOL
46%
28%
26%
|
80 | 81 | 1 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 1975 |
NAP
2 - 0
ROM
58%
25%
18%
|
80 | 82 | 2 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 1975 |
ROM
0 - 1
TOR
47%
29%
25%
|
80 | 83 | 3 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 1975 |
ROM
1 - 0
INT
33%
28%
39%
|
80 | 85 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Varese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Feb. 1975 |
VAR
0 - 1
CAG
42%
30%
29%
|
69 | 77 | 8 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 1975 |
JUV
3 - 0
VAR
82%
13%
6%
|
70 | 89 | 19 | -1 |
| 09 Feb. 1975 |
VAR
4 - 0
SAM
49%
30%
22%
|
69 | 71 | 2 | +1 |
| 02 Feb. 1975 |
INT
1 - 0
VAR
75%
17%
9%
|
69 | 85 | 16 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 1975 |
NAP
3 - 0
VAR
68%
21%
12%
|
69 | 82 | 13 | 0 |