Roma vs SSC Bari analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
71.9%
Win probability
2.67
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.7%
6-0
1.2%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.8%
5-0
2.8%
6-1
1.3%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.3%
4-0
5.2%
5-1
2.9%
6-2
0.7%
7-3
0.1%
+4
8.8%
3-0
7.7%
4-1
5.4%
5-2
1.5%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
14.9%
2-0
8.7%
3-1
8.1%
4-2
2.8%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
20.2%
1-0
6.5%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
4.2%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.9%
15.7%
Draw
0-0
2.4%
1-1
6.8%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
15.7%
12.4%
Win probability
1.04
Expected goals
0-1
2.5%
1-2
3.5%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0.1%
-1
8.2%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
3.1%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Roma
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Mar. 1943 |
BOL
4 - 2
ROM
71%
17%
12%
|
79 | 84 | 5 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 1943 |
ATL
2 - 1
ROM
44%
25%
32%
|
80 | 72 | 8 | -1 |
| 21 Feb. 1943 |
ROM
5 - 1
ACL
69%
17%
14%
|
79 | 69 | 10 | +1 |
| 18 Feb. 1943 |
ACL
3 - 0
ROM
37%
24%
39%
|
80 | 68 | 12 | -1 |
| 14 Feb. 1943 |
TOR
4 - 0
ROM
72%
16%
12%
|
80 | 84 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
SSC Bari
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Mar. 1943 |
BAR
0 - 0
GEN
25%
22%
53%
|
65 | 81 | 16 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 1943 |
BAR
1 - 1
LIV
33%
25%
42%
|
65 | 77 | 12 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 1943 |
INT
0 - 0
BAR
76%
14%
10%
|
65 | 82 | 17 | 0 |
| 14 Feb. 1943 |
BAR
1 - 0
TRI
41%
27%
32%
|
64 | 75 | 11 | +1 |
| 07 Feb. 1943 |
BAR
0 - 1
BOL
27%
25%
49%
|
64 | 84 | 20 | 0 |