Roma vs Arsenal analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
42.3%
Win probability
1.47
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.8%
3-0
3.5%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.4%
2-0
7.1%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.6%
1-0
9.7%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.8%
25.6%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.5%
32.2%
Win probability
1.25
Expected goals
0-1
8.3%
1-2
7.6%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
18.5%
0-2
5.1%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.1%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.3%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Roma
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Nov. 2002 |
PAR
3 - 0
ROM
34%
27%
40%
|
90 | 86 | 4 | 0 |
| 16 Nov. 2002 |
ROM
2 - 2
INT
47%
24%
29%
|
90 | 90 | 0 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 2002 |
ROM
1 - 1
AEK
75%
15%
9%
|
90 | 82 | 8 | 0 |
| 09 Nov. 2002 |
PIA
1 - 1
ROM
25%
26%
49%
|
90 | 81 | 9 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 2002 |
ROM
2 - 1
COM
77%
16%
8%
|
90 | 74 | 16 | 0 |
Matches
Arsenal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Nov. 2002 |
SOU
3 - 2
ARS
22%
25%
53%
|
92 | 81 | 11 | 0 |
| 16 Nov. 2002 |
ARS
3 - 0
TOT
76%
15%
9%
|
92 | 83 | 9 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 2002 |
ARS
0 - 0
PSV
69%
17%
14%
|
92 | 88 | 4 | 0 |
| 09 Nov. 2002 |
ARS
1 - 0
NEW
70%
17%
13%
|
92 | 87 | 5 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 2002 |
ARS
2 - 3
SUN
81%
13%
6%
|
92 | 79 | 13 | 0 |