Inter-Cities Fairs Cup 1/16
Global 13-3
Roma vs Altay analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
72.7%
Win probability
2.62
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.2%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.8%
5-0
2.8%
6-1
1.2%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.3%
4-0
5.4%
5-1
2.7%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
8.8%
3-0
8.3%
4-1
5.2%
5-2
1.3%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
15.1%
2-0
9.6%
3-1
8%
4-2
2.5%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.6%
1-0
7.3%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.3%
15.7%
Draw
0-0
2.8%
1-1
7%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
15.7%
11.6%
Win probability
0.96
Expected goals
0-1
2.7%
1-2
3.4%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
7.8%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0.1%
-2
2.8%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Roma
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Nov. 1962 |
PAL
0 - 4
ROM
25%
26%
49%
|
82 | 70 | 12 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 1962 |
ROM
0 - 1
VIC
77%
15%
9%
|
83 | 74 | 9 | -1 |
| 21 Oct. 1962 |
SPA
3 - 0
ROM
34%
26%
40%
|
83 | 74 | 9 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 1962 |
ROM
1 - 1
JUV
49%
22%
29%
|
83 | 85 | 2 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 1962 |
CAT
0 - 0
ROM
28%
26%
46%
|
83 | 73 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Altay
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Oct. 1962 |
BEY
1 - 0
ALT
49%
24%
27%
|
75 | 75 | 0 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 1962 |
FER
1 - 1
ALT
41%
26%
33%
|
75 | 71 | 4 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 1962 |
ALT
1 - 0
KAR
48%
25%
26%
|
75 | 74 | 1 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 1962 |
FAT
1 - 3
ALT
50%
24%
27%
|
74 | 72 | 2 | +1 |
| 29 Sep. 1962 |
BEY
2 - 0
ALT
30%
25%
45%
|
75 | 55 | 20 | -1 |