Roma vs Ajax analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
48.7%
Win probability
1.82
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.1%
3-0
4.3%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.6%
2-0
7%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.8%
1-0
7.7%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.8%
22.9%
Draw
0-0
4.2%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
22.9%
28.4%
Win probability
1.34
Expected goals
0-1
5.7%
1-2
6.9%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
16.1%
0-2
3.8%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
8%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
+6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Roma
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Mar. 2003 |
PRG
1 - 0
ROM
33%
27%
40%
|
89 | 83 | 6 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 2003 |
ARS
1 - 1
ROM
70%
18%
12%
|
89 | 93 | 4 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 2003 |
ROM
1 - 1
LAZ
52%
24%
24%
|
89 | 89 | 0 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 2003 |
ROM
3 - 1
EMP
73%
17%
10%
|
89 | 77 | 12 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 2003 |
VCF
0 - 3
ROM
61%
23%
16%
|
88 | 93 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
Ajax
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Mar. 2003 |
AJA
2 - 1
EXC
78%
14%
8%
|
88 | 68 | 20 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 2003 |
AJA
1 - 1
VCF
48%
25%
27%
|
89 | 92 | 3 | -1 |
| 08 Mar. 2003 |
ZWO
0 - 5
AJA
21%
25%
55%
|
88 | 67 | 21 | +1 |
| 05 Mar. 2003 |
AJA
4 - 1
GRO
82%
13%
5%
|
88 | 66 | 22 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 2003 |
AJA
2 - 0
VIT
75%
16%
9%
|
88 | 80 | 8 | 0 |