Roma vs AC Monza analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
75.3%
Win probability
2.55
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.3%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.8%
5-0
3.2%
6-1
1.1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.4%
4-0
6.2%
5-1
2.5%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
9.2%
3-0
9.7%
4-1
4.9%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
15.8%
2-0
11.5%
3-1
7.7%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.5%
1-0
9%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.8%
15.2%
Draw
0-0
3.5%
1-1
7.2%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
15.2%
9.5%
Win probability
0.79
Expected goals
0-1
2.8%
1-2
2.8%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
6.8%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.1%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Roma
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Apr. 1952 |
SAL
2 - 2
ROM
44%
26%
30%
|
73 | 62 | 11 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 1952 |
ROM
2 - 0
ATP
64%
20%
17%
|
73 | 66 | 7 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 1952 |
GEN
1 - 0
ROM
55%
23%
22%
|
73 | 70 | 3 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 1952 |
ROM
3 - 1
ACM
69%
18%
13%
|
73 | 60 | 13 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 1952 |
VNZ
2 - 2
ROM
43%
26%
32%
|
73 | 59 | 14 | 0 |
Matches
AC Monza
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Apr. 1952 |
ASS
0 - 0
PIS
59%
22%
19%
|
56 | 59 | 3 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 1952 |
ACM
4 - 0
ASS
65%
19%
16%
|
57 | 61 | 4 | -1 |
| 06 Apr. 1952 |
ASS
1 - 0
VER
48%
23%
29%
|
56 | 65 | 9 | +1 |
| 30 Mar. 1952 |
CAT
3 - 0
ASS
65%
20%
16%
|
57 | 63 | 6 | -1 |
| 23 Mar. 1952 |
ASS
1 - 0
LIV
55%
22%
23%
|
56 | 60 | 4 | +1 |