Roma vs Mantova analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
73.7%
Win probability
1.96
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.8%
5-0
2.2%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.5%
4-0
5.5%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
6.6%
3-0
11.3%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
14%
2-0
17.3%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
<0%
+2
22.9%
1-0
17.6%
2-1
7.8%
3-2
1.1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
26.6%
18.8%
Draw
0-0
9%
1-1
7.9%
2-2
1.7%
3-3
0.2%
0
18.8%
7.5%
Win probability
0.45
Expected goals
0-1
4%
1-2
1.8%
2-3
0.3%
3-4
0%
-1
6.1%
0-2
0.9%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0%
-2
1.2%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
+13%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Roma
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Nov. 1971 |
VAR
1 - 3
ROM
41%
30%
29%
|
79 | 73 | 6 | 0 |
| 07 Nov. 1971 |
JUV
2 - 1
ROM
76%
16%
8%
|
79 | 87 | 8 | 0 |
| 31 Oct. 1971 |
ROM
3 - 1
INT
24%
27%
49%
|
79 | 88 | 9 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 1971 |
FIO
2 - 0
ROM
64%
23%
13%
|
79 | 84 | 5 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 1971 |
ROM
1 - 0
SAM
60%
24%
17%
|
79 | 75 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Mantova
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Nov. 1971 |
MAN
1 - 1
FCC
57%
27%
16%
|
69 | 66 | 3 | 0 |
| 07 Nov. 1971 |
MAN
1 - 0
ATL
52%
28%
20%
|
69 | 69 | 0 | 0 |
| 31 Oct. 1971 |
VER
1 - 0
MAN
61%
25%
14%
|
69 | 72 | 3 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 1971 |
MAN
1 - 1
BOL
33%
29%
38%
|
69 | 84 | 15 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 1971 |
NAP
1 - 0
MAN
67%
22%
11%
|
69 | 82 | 13 | 0 |