Roma vs Mantova analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
63%
Win probability
1.68
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
3.3%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.1%
3-0
7.9%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.2%
2-0
14.1%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
<0%
+2
19.7%
1-0
16.9%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.1%
+1
27.3%
23.6%
Draw
0-0
10.1%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
2.7%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
23.6%
13.4%
Win probability
0.62
Expected goals
0-1
6.2%
1-2
3.2%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0%
-1
10.1%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.1%
-2
2.7%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Roma
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Mar. 1968 |
CAG
1 - 2
ROM
57%
23%
20%
|
76 | 79 | 3 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 1968 |
ROM
1 - 0
VAR
53%
26%
22%
|
75 | 75 | 0 | +1 |
| 10 Mar. 1968 |
VIC
0 - 0
ROM
45%
27%
28%
|
75 | 74 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 1968 |
ATL
2 - 1
ROM
41%
28%
31%
|
76 | 73 | 3 | -1 |
| 18 Feb. 1968 |
ROM
1 - 1
SAM
57%
24%
19%
|
76 | 73 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Mantova
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Mar. 1968 |
MAN
0 - 1
NAP
26%
32%
43%
|
68 | 81 | 13 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 1968 |
TOR
4 - 1
MAN
68%
20%
12%
|
69 | 82 | 13 | -1 |
| 10 Mar. 1968 |
ATL
2 - 0
MAN
54%
27%
19%
|
70 | 73 | 3 | -1 |
| 25 Feb. 1968 |
CAG
2 - 2
MAN
71%
19%
10%
|
69 | 79 | 10 | +1 |
| 18 Feb. 1968 |
BRE
0 - 1
MAN
57%
26%
18%
|
69 | 71 | 2 | 0 |