Roma vs Mantova analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
69.1%
Win probability
2.18
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
2.1%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.8%
4-0
4.8%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.7%
3-0
8.8%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.4%
2-0
12.1%
3-1
7%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.8%
1-0
11.1%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24%
18.6%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
8.8%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
18.6%
12.3%
Win probability
0.8
Expected goals
0-1
4.1%
1-2
3.5%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
8.7%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.8%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Roma
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Mar. 1965 |
ROM
0 - 0
LAZ
71%
18%
11%
|
81 | 73 | 8 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 1965 |
BOL
1 - 2
ROM
70%
18%
12%
|
81 | 86 | 5 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 1965 |
FTC
1 - 0
ROM
56%
22%
21%
|
81 | 77 | 4 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 1965 |
ROM
1 - 2
FTC
66%
18%
16%
|
82 | 77 | 5 | -1 |
| 07 Mar. 1965 |
CAT
4 - 0
ROM
39%
28%
33%
|
82 | 73 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Mantova
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Mar. 1965 |
MAN
2 - 0
GEN
40%
29%
31%
|
71 | 74 | 3 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 1965 |
MAN
0 - 1
INT
15%
24%
62%
|
72 | 90 | 18 | -1 |
| 07 Mar. 1965 |
VIC
1 - 0
MAN
57%
24%
19%
|
72 | 77 | 5 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 1965 |
MAN
1 - 0
SAM
40%
28%
32%
|
71 | 75 | 4 | +1 |
| 21 Feb. 1965 |
CAG
2 - 1
MAN
47%
28%
25%
|
72 | 69 | 3 | -1 |