Roma Sub 18 vs Lecce Sub 18 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
69.8%
Win probability
2.66
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.1%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
1.7%
5-0
2.5%
6-1
1.3%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.1%
4-0
4.7%
5-1
2.8%
6-2
0.7%
7-3
0.1%
+4
8.3%
3-0
7%
4-1
5.3%
5-2
1.6%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
14.3%
2-0
7.9%
3-1
8%
4-2
3%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
19.7%
1-0
6%
2-1
9%
3-2
4.6%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.9%
16.2%
Draw
0-0
2.2%
1-1
6.8%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
16.2%
14%
Win probability
1.14
Expected goals
0-1
2.5%
1-2
3.9%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
8.9%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
3.6%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-10%
-1%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
60
1º
8º
3º
32
7º
14º
14º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
13º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
66 | 66 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
59 | 62 |
2º
|
58.5% | |
|
|
2º
|
60 | 60 |
3º
|
58.5% | |
|
4º
|
56 | 59 |
4º
|
89.5% | |
|
5º
|
53 | 54 |
5º
|
93.5% | |
|
8º
|
50 | 53 |
6º
|
54.5% | |
|
9º
|
49 | 52 |
7º
|
25% | |
|
7º
|
50 | 51 |
8º
|
46% | |
|
6º
|
50 | 50 |
9º
|
31% | |
|
10º
|
46 | 49 |
10º
|
85.5% | |
|
11º
|
43 | 43 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
32 | 35 |
12º
|
30.5% | |
|
12º
|
34 | 34 |
13º
|
31.5% | |
|
|
13º
|
32 | 32 |
14º
|
78.5% | |
|
15º
|
25 | 25 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
16º
|
21 | 21 |
16º
|
100% | |
|
17º
|
9 | 9 |
17º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
|
100% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Roma Sub 18
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Dec. 2023 |
HEL
0 - 5
ASR
27%
21%
52%
|
32 | 22 | 10 | 0 |
| 04 Dec. 2023 |
ASR
4 - 1
FRO
87%
9%
4%
|
33 | 6 | 27 | -1 |
| 26 Nov. 2023 |
CAG
2 - 2
ASR
24%
21%
55%
|
33 | 22 | 11 | 0 |
| 13 Nov. 2023 |
ASR
1 - 1
FIO
64%
19%
17%
|
33 | 27 | 6 | 0 |
| 09 Nov. 2023 |
ASR
2 - 1
LAZ
58%
20%
23%
|
32 | 28 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
Lecce Sub 18
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Dec. 2023 |
LEC
1 - 2
ATA
33%
22%
45%
|
24 | 28 | 4 | 0 |
| 03 Dec. 2023 |
BOL
1 - 1
LEC
64%
18%
18%
|
24 | 31 | 7 | 0 |
| 26 Nov. 2023 |
LEC
1 - 2
EMP
35%
23%
42%
|
25 | 30 | 5 | -1 |
| 13 Nov. 2023 |
MIL
5 - 0
LEC
48%
23%
29%
|
26 | 31 | 5 | -1 |
| 30 Oct. 2023 |
LEC
2 - 1
HEL
36%
22%
42%
|
25 | 27 | 2 | +1 |