Roma City vs Vastogirardi analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
30.8%
Win probability
1.5
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.2%
3-0
1.9%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
+3
3.7%
2-0
3.8%
3-1
3.6%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
8.9%
1-0
5.1%
2-1
7.2%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
16.5%
22.3%
Draw
0-0
3.4%
1-1
9.6%
2-2
6.8%
3-3
2.1%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
22.3%
46.9%
Win probability
1.89
Expected goals
0-1
6.4%
1-2
9%
2-3
4.3%
3-4
1%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
20.8%
0-2
6%
1-3
5.7%
2-4
2%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0%
-2
14.1%
0-3
3.8%
1-4
2.7%
2-5
0.8%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
7.4%
0-4
1.8%
1-5
1%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
3.1%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-26%
-12%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
13º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
37
13º
18º
13º
42
1º
17º
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
10º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
69 | 72 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
68 | 68 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
62 | 62 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
57 | 58 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
49 | 52 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
48 | 48 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
43 | 47 |
7º
|
84.5% | |
|
7º
|
45 | 45 |
8º
|
74.5% | |
|
8º
|
44 | 44 |
9º
|
43% | |
|
|
10º
|
42 | 43 |
10º
|
41.5% | |
|
11º
|
42 | 43 |
11º
|
46.5% | |
|
12º
|
40 | 40 |
12º
|
89.5% | |
|
|
13º
|
37 | 38 |
13º
|
86.5% | |
|
14º
|
36 | 36 |
14º
|
86.5% | |
|
15º
|
31 | 32 |
15º
|
31.5% | |
|
16º
|
31 | 32 |
16º
|
31.5% | |
|
17º
|
29 | 29 |
17º
|
39% | |
|
18º
|
28 | 29 |
18º
|
39% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Roma City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Feb. 2023 |
MAT
2 - 1
RCF
62%
20%
18%
|
31 | 39 | 8 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 2023 |
RCF
2 - 0
FAN
32%
25%
43%
|
28 | 37 | 9 | +3 |
| 05 Feb. 2023 |
TER
1 - 1
RCF
57%
20%
22%
|
28 | 32 | 4 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 2023 |
RCF
1 - 0
ASD
30%
24%
47%
|
26 | 35 | 9 | +2 |
| 22 Jan. 2023 |
RCF
2 - 0
AVE
35%
24%
42%
|
24 | 30 | 6 | +2 |
Matches
Vastogirardi
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Feb. 2023 |
VAS
1 - 0
UST
58%
23%
20%
|
36 | 29 | 7 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 2023 |
VAS
0 - 0
POR
44%
24%
32%
|
35 | 37 | 2 | +1 |
| 12 Feb. 2023 |
TRA
2 - 0
VAS
57%
22%
21%
|
36 | 39 | 3 | -1 |
| 29 Jan. 2023 |
PIN
2 - 0
VAS
67%
21%
13%
|
37 | 48 | 11 | -1 |
| 22 Jan. 2023 |
VAS
1 - 2
TNF
52%
23%
25%
|
38 | 33 | 5 | -1 |