Roma Apucarana vs Toledo EC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
43.6%
Win probability
1.54
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2%
3-0
3.7%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.8%
2-0
7.2%
3-1
4.6%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.1%
1-0
9.3%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.9%
25%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
25%
31.4%
Win probability
1.26
Expected goals
0-1
7.7%
1-2
7.5%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
18%
0-2
4.9%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.9%
0-3
2%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.3%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Roma Apucarana
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Feb. 2012 |
ATP
4 - 0
ROM
79%
15%
6%
|
48 | 76 | 28 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 2012 |
OPE
2 - 1
ROM
45%
25%
30%
|
49 | 51 | 2 | -1 |
| 25 Jan. 2012 |
ROM
0 - 1
CIA
38%
25%
37%
|
50 | 53 | 3 | -1 |
| 22 Jan. 2012 |
ARA
1 - 1
ROM
46%
24%
30%
|
50 | 52 | 2 | 0 |
| 01 May. 2011 |
ARA
3 - 2
ROM
43%
25%
32%
|
50 | 52 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Toledo EC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Feb. 2012 |
TCW
1 - 0
OPE
42%
25%
34%
|
49 | 52 | 3 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 2012 |
TCW
1 - 2
CIA
39%
25%
36%
|
50 | 54 | 4 | -1 |
| 25 Jan. 2012 |
RIO
3 - 2
TCW
38%
26%
37%
|
51 | 45 | 6 | -1 |
| 22 Jan. 2012 |
TCW
0 - 2
COT
10%
18%
72%
|
51 | 82 | 31 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 2011 |
LON
1 - 0
TCW
51%
24%
25%
|
52 | 52 | 0 | -1 |