Roma Apucarana vs Coritiba analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
9.8%
Win probability
0.57
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
+4
<0%
3-0
0.2%
4-1
0.1%
+3
0.3%
2-0
1.3%
3-1
0.5%
4-2
0.1%
+2
1.9%
1-0
4.5%
2-1
2.6%
3-2
0.5%
4-3
<0%
+1
7.6%
19.6%
Draw
0-0
7.9%
1-1
8.9%
2-2
2.5%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
19.6%
70.6%
Win probability
1.97
Expected goals
0-1
15.5%
1-2
8.7%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
-1
26%
0-2
15.2%
1-3
5.7%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
21.9%
0-3
10%
1-4
2.8%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
13.2%
0-4
4.9%
1-5
1.1%
2-6
0.1%
-4
6.1%
0-5
1.9%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0%
-5
2.3%
0-6
0.6%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.7%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Roma Apucarana
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Apr. 2012 |
ACP
1 - 1
ROM
51%
23%
26%
|
46 | 48 | 2 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 2012 |
ROM
1 - 1
LON
25%
24%
51%
|
45 | 55 | 10 | +1 |
| 07 Apr. 2012 |
IRA
1 - 0
ROM
39%
25%
37%
|
46 | 43 | 3 | -1 |
| 01 Apr. 2012 |
ROM
1 - 1
JMA
43%
26%
31%
|
46 | 48 | 2 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 2012 |
RIO
2 - 2
ROM
43%
24%
33%
|
46 | 45 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Coritiba
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Apr. 2012 |
COT
4 - 1
PAY
82%
13%
6%
|
82 | 59 | 23 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 2012 |
COT
4 - 2
ATP
63%
21%
16%
|
82 | 76 | 6 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 2012 |
OPE
2 - 2
COT
12%
21%
68%
|
82 | 51 | 31 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 2012 |
COT
3 - 0
ASA
80%
14%
7%
|
82 | 62 | 20 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 2012 |
COT
3 - 1
CIA
83%
12%
5%
|
82 | 56 | 26 | 0 |